Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.182158 0.209460 0.240626 0.279086 0.325616 0.380529 0.450891
2025-05-18 0.140264 0.175253 0.219723 0.281465 0.366730 0.483063 0.658765
2025-05-25 0.115203 0.152718 0.204272 0.282550 0.402636 0.587617 0.911060
2025-06-01 0.097880 0.135687 0.190853 0.280773 0.431173 0.688287 1.201727
2025-06-08 0.084777 0.121739 0.178321 0.276067 0.451943 0.781362 1.524865
2025-06-15 0.077297 0.114700 0.174597 0.284026 0.495674 0.930977 2.051842
2025-06-22 0.068965 0.104930 0.164559 0.278395 0.511756 1.030548 2.529088
2025-06-29 0.063476 0.098955 0.159816 0.281209 0.545262 1.182259 3.270172
2025-07-06 0.058009 0.092265 0.152715 0.277840 0.564297 1.307342 4.046912
2025-07-13 0.054505 0.088521 0.150357 0.283497 0.605712 1.512074 5.348297
2025-07-20 0.051575 0.085425 0.148717 0.290267 0.652060 1.756875 7.177178
2025-07-27 0.048865 0.082407 0.146772 0.295924 0.697531 2.027085 9.633926
2025-08-03 0.046536 0.079914 0.145675 0.303730 0.753208 2.377184 13.468829
2025-08-10 0.043999 0.076765 0.142832 0.306879 0.797165 2.720015 18.405727
2025-08-17 0.041577 0.073589 0.139518 0.308229 0.836596 3.080423 25.089322
2025-08-24 0.039153 0.070173 0.135252 0.306284 0.864941 3.418696 33.484374
2025-08-31 0.036740 0.066557 0.130113 0.301045 0.880413 3.710801 43.442351
2025-09-07 0.035499 0.065247 0.130042 0.309927 0.952008 4.403874 68.194347
2025-09-14 0.033412 0.061970 0.125025 0.303645 0.962844 4.739497 89.894264
2025-09-21 0.032063 0.060158 0.123277 0.306785 1.014218 5.428842 138.641185
2025-09-28 0.030438 0.057614 0.119488 0.303026 1.035224 5.930911 197.328828
2025-10-05 0.029472 0.056437 0.118925 0.309338 1.105123 6.965872 350.812439
2025-10-12 0.028626 0.055455 0.118739 0.316897 1.185677 8.279982 697.509745